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Also, I got 404 errors when I tried to access the earlier (group A) postings, so look no further when you wonder why there are no comments.
Very informative, though - thanks.
As for your first point, you're correct, I completely forgot to mention Eduardo da Silva's absence. With Croatia's one striker system, he'll be missed, but I think they'll be able to cover for him because they still have some dynamic wing players. My apologies for not mentioning that; that one is all on me. It slipped my mind partly because Eduardo was injured back in January, but that's no excuse.
Thanks for the correction.
Not sure why the Group A story is generating a 404 error and won't allow comments. Must be the spirits in the material world (reminds me of a song by The Police)!
Cheers,
The Gaffer
I mean this in the nicest way possible, but you're nuts!
The host country (or two, in this case) always does better than most people imagine especially with the home field advantage.
Venezuela did better than most people expected in Copa America, just as one recent example.
Cheers,
The Gaffer
Well It's simple, even though Eduardo is out for Croatia they're still able to win games. And that was shown at Wembley (I know Dudu played, but he didn't score).
And mate, if you're talking sense, I'd hate to see stupid. Because Poland, with ONE point!? That's just insane. They've been strolling through the qualifications. They have a better chance to advance than Hervatska.
Then, Austria with two draws? They're a host nation, so that won't happen. I though Deutschland wouldn't do anything in the '06 WC but home field advantage is a BIG one.
Then, check out who's been scoring all the goals for Bayern Munich lately, it's been Luca Tonia and Frank Ribery, no sight of Miroslav Klose. I admire the guy because he can score, but I'm just saying, he's dropped in his performances at the wrong time. I dig their striker core, and apart from a solid, solid midfield, I see a leaky defense.
Just because I don't see a lot of conservative play in these match-up's I'm going to go with low points for the teams that advance, even lower than 7.
Concerning Poland, you may be right, I may be underestimating them and selling them short, but I just don't see the talent and I don't see where they're going to pick up their points. They're just not good enough to beat Germany or Croatia in my opinion, and I can't see them beating Austria (even though on a neutral field, I'd takae Poland) on Austrian soil.
As for your point about home field advantage, you can't even compare Germany and Austria in that regard. Germany is a much, much better team than Austria and could've reached the semi-final of the last World Cup even if it wasn't played in Germany, whereas Austria likely wouldn't have even qualified for this tournament if they weren't a co-host. Home field advantage is significant when it comes to two evenly-matched teams or teams that are close, like Poland and Austria. As I just said, I can see Austria getting a draw in that game and I'm going to go out on a limb and say they pick up a point against Croatia, who is a much better team.
I didn't mention Jansen because I really haven't mentioned any of the players I thought would be coming off the bench. If I did that, these already long previews would be even longer, so I just go with what I believe the starting lineup will be.